Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.116919 0.125439 0.134265 0.144095 0.154745 0.165942 0.178615
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.099862 0.111956 0.125115 0.140524 0.158109 0.177593 0.200873
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.092670 0.107055 0.123241 0.142861 0.166080 0.192776 0.225929
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.084922 0.100459 0.118415 0.140793 0.168061 0.200367 0.241776
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.079020 0.095395 0.114759 0.139476 0.170370 0.207946 0.257471
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.072981 0.089661 0.109781 0.136002 0.169511 0.211219 0.267559
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.068658 0.085715 0.106668 0.134504 0.170816 0.216994 0.280827
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.065589 0.083122 0.105030 0.134664 0.174083 0.225244 0.297540
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.061892 0.079495 0.101830 0.132536 0.174104 0.229063 0.308296
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.059067 0.076841 0.099723 0.131673 0.175661 0.234865 0.321890
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.058346 0.076905 0.101161 0.135579 0.183801 0.249921 0.349111
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.055938 0.074574 0.099249 0.134754 0.185266 0.255663 0.363176
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.053443 0.072069 0.097056 0.133522 0.186215 0.260880 0.377022
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.050433 0.068731 0.093578 0.130318 0.184178 0.261687 0.384338
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.049416 0.068120 0.093856 0.132460 0.189953 0.274109 0.409824
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.047190 0.065696 0.091450 0.130561 0.189611 0.277335 0.421159
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.045330 0.063715 0.089586 0.129352 0.190203 0.281928 0.434787
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.043007 0.060969 0.086496 0.126161 0.187593 0.281415 0.440095
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.041350 0.059135 0.084668 0.124784 0.187690 0.285071 0.452301
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.040218 0.058032 0.083871 0.124931 0.190145 0.292511 0.471097
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.038583 0.056114 0.081778 0.122976 0.189154 0.294336 0.480455
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.037345 0.054751 0.080470 0.122183 0.189971 0.299093 0.495013
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.037287 0.055178 0.081903 0.125772 0.198036 0.316119 0.531790